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Impact of Pandemic & Economic Slowdown
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The global market for Metal Powders is expected to slump by -18.4% in the year 2020 highlighting a US$640.3million erosion in market value. Thereafter the market is expected to recover and reach US$4 billion by the year 2027 trailing a post-COVID-19 CAGR of 5.1% over the analysis period 2020 to 2027.COVID-19 outbreak has impacted demand for powder metallurgy parts in applications such as transportation, construction and mechanical engineering sectors. The manufacturing industry which is a major end-user of metal powders is feeling the weight of falling industrial output and a crumbling manufacturing sector. The worst affected industry in this pandemic driven crisis is manufacturing with its complex supply chains, labor intensive processes, and interdependencies. Division of labor, modular manufacturing strategies, outsourcing to reduce costs and increase the efficiency, consistency, and quality of each operations, have made the manufacturing sector most vulnerable amid the lockdown restrictions. An indication of the grim state of affairs is the fact that global manufacturing PMI is already declining and will fall to an estimated all-time low of 35.4 points in 2020 as compared to 53.8 in 2019. This indicates severe contraction of manufacturing activity including new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, inventories, customers` inventories, commodity prices, order backlog, new export orders, and imports. Global industrial output is plummeting sharply with the U.S posting steep declines of -16.5% & -15.2% in March & April 2020.
Powder Metallurgy Parts are widely using in manufacturing automobiles and aircraft and both these industries are crumbling. The aviation industry has been brought down to its knees hurt by grounded flights as countries across the world sealed their borders amid stringent travel restrictions imposed in 1Q of 2020. Several airline companies across the world, especially low cost carriers, have already voiced concerns about going bankrupt without timely aid and financial rescue measures from the government. Widespread travel bans and sealing up of international and regional borders by governments worldwide to contain the spread of the disease has been a significant financial blow for airline operators. Even as governments cautiously begin to ease restrictions in 2Q of 2020, the rising second wave of infections is doing but little to bring hope to the aviation industry. With all non-essential travel coming to a halt and with the tourism industry virtually decimated a longer-term impact is more than likely to be felt by the aviation industry. The industry which suffered over US$32.6 billion in April 2020 will likely see the losses mount to over US$120.2 billion by December 2020. The auto industry is also facing an uncertain future amid the global recession with the reduction in automobile sales expected to be steepest in the year 2020 as compared to other recessions of the past. As discretionary funds are used to purchase consumer electronics, household appliances and automobiles, demand highly correlates with GDP. The -3% global GDP estimated for 2020 is therefore aggravating market woes.
The construction industry which is also a key consumer of metal powders is facing the brunt of labor migration, capital constraints and disruptions in construction material supply chain. Diversion of government funds from infrastructure development to pandemic firefighting has additionally impacted the construction industry, which is dependent to a large extent on infrastructure projects. In several countries, all non-essential construction projects have been put on hold with the exception of building emergency hospitals for COVID-19 care. Residential construction is taking a beating with millions of people worldwide pushed into unemployment as businesses either go bankrupt or layoff workforce to stay afloat. Unemployment rates are climbing to worrisome levels in both developed and developing economies alike. For the construction industry, this brings bad news as new housing starts go into deep freeze. The long shadow of the coronavirus is thwarting home-buying plans of consumers. With countries seeing a second wave of infections, the Covid-19 resurgence is likely to undermine the much awaited chances of a V-shaped recovery. Challenges of maintaining social distancing at construction sites is resulting in difficulties in obtaining project clearances from regulatory authorities. Ensuring raw material availability still remains a challenge for most construction contractors.
In the post COVID-19 period, recovery will move in sync with the rebound of the three major end-use markets. Benefits of powdered metal products over conventional metal fabrication techniques include enables massive savings in mass production lines; flexibility to develop metals with diverse compositions such as metals- non-metals and metal-metal combinations; enables production of metal parts with near net shapes with high dimensional accuracy; repeatability ensures consistent properties and part dimensions; generates very little scrap and material wastages; imparts excellent wear resistance to the final finished product; enables machining of parts with intricate geometric shapes; produces good surface finishes and eliminates the need for dedicated metal finishing processes. The growth in the market will benefit from the expected recovery in automobile production trends, reopening of the commercial aerospace industry, and steady recovery of the construction industry. The growing sophistication of electronics manufacturing will also spur demand growth for aluminum and titanium-based powder metals. Also, growing investments in renewable energy post pandemic and the resulting increase in the production of solar panels and wind turbines will help boost consumption trends. Manufacturing advancements in PM parts such as hot is static pressing, metal injection molding and additive manufacturing will drive opportunities in the market. Other major noteworthy trends will include shift in demand towards finer powders and advanced PM parts; increased volume consumption of PM materials in aero-engines and land-based gas turbines; mechanization of agriculture in developing markets in Asia, Middle East, Latin America and Africa and the ensuing demand for powdered metals based components in agricultural machinery production; and growing demand for construction equipment. Asia-Pacific will remain a major market led by the expected resurgence in the number of infrastructure development projects and the resulting demand for a wide range of products requiring production of metal components from metal powders.
» Type (Ferrous, Non-Ferrous, Other Types) » Production Method (Physical, Chemical, Mechanical) » Application (Automotive, Aerospace & Defense, Construction, Electrical & Electronics, Healthcare, Other Applications)
» World » USA » Canada » Japan » China » Europe » France » Germany » Italy » UK » Rest of Europe » Asia-Pacific » Rest of World
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